A 90-day MRR forecast for your
MENA app, with the calendar baked in
$299. One-time. We model your forward MRR with cohort-based reasoning that knows Ramadan, Eid, and the regional payment friction. Three scenarios, confidence bands, the levers that move each.
Join the waitlist →What you get
Forecast PDF
Worst / likely / best MRR scenarios for the next 90 days with confidence bands and named drivers per scenario.
Scenarios spreadsheet
Editable Sheets file so your finance lead can plug in alternative assumptions and re-run.
30-min walkthrough call
We talk through the model, the assumptions, and which levers are worth pulling this quarter.
What we model
- ● Cohort-based retention curves projected forward 90 days
- ● Payment-rail decline rate impact by country and processor
- ● Cultural calendar overlays — Ramadan, both Eids, Saudi + UAE National Days
- ● Ad-channel saturation curves with Hill saturation per channel
- ● Pricing sensitivity by geo (PPP-adjusted)
- ● Trial-to-paid conversion across iOS and Android cohorts
Timeline
- Day 0You order, we send the OAuth-only connection checklist.
- Day 1We ingest 90 days of historical data and start fitting models.
- Day 3Forecast delivered. PDF + Sheets + Zoom invite for the walkthrough.
Why MENA specifically
A spreadsheet forecast assumes calendar-uniform user behaviour and global card decline rates. Both assumptions break in MENA. The Ramadan engagement window inversion, the deferred-cancellation rebound after Eid, the gap between local and international card decline rates — our model treats these as first-class inputs rather than noise to be averaged away.
Ready when the waitlist opens?
Email us with your app name and we'll add you to the first cohort. Free for the first 10 founders this quarter; $299 thereafter.
Join the waitlist →